Air France-KLM shares hit all-time low as Q3 underwhelms

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  • Q3 operating profit 1.34 bln euros, 2% below consensus
  • FY fuel costs seen at $7.8 bln vs $7.5 bln previously
  • Shares drop as much as 8% to record low

LONDON, Oct 27 (Reuters) – Shares in Air France-KLM (AIRF.PA) fell as much as 8% to an all-time low on Friday as record third-quarter profits just missed expectations and some analysts worried about rising fuel costs and a lack of profit guidance for the fourth quarter.

The airline reported an operating profit of 1.34 billion euros ($1.37 billion) for July-September, up 31% year-on-year but 2% below analysts’ consensus forecast.

British Airways-owner IAG (ICAG.L) beat forecasts on Friday with record third quarter profits, as airlines benefit from strong summer travel.

Air France-KLM left its guidance for capacity, capital spending and unit costs unchanged for the full financial year.

“All in all we believe the results are mixed, not delivering a beat this time and lacking Q4 yield commentary,” Stifel analysts wrote in a note, also pointing to an increase in full-year fuel cost expectations to $7.8 billion from $7.5 billion.

Air France-KLM said it did not expect to return to pre-pandemic capacity levels in the French market. Earlier this month, it said it would stop operating most domestic flights from Paris-Orly airport by summer 2026 amid falling demand for domestic business flights and a growing shift to rail travel.

A logo is seen on the facade of Air France-KLM building during the presentation of the group’s annual results in Paris, France, February 17, 2023. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier/File Photo Acquire Licensing Rights

“In the domestic market where we are not returning to pre-COVID levels and we do not expect to return to pre-COVID levels … because of the TGV rail links in France, there is a true viable alternative. For routes like Paris-Marseille where the train takes about three hours, we’ve seen demand plummet by 50%”, Chief Executive Ben Smith said in a call with analysts.

Geopolitical instability following the attacks by Hamas in Israel on Oct. 7, which led to flight cancellations, should not have a significant impact on the group, it said.

Air-France-KLM’s main affected route is Tel Aviv, as flights to and from the city remain suspended until Oct. 31, the group said on Thursday.

“In terms of its impact on overall results, it’s insignificant”, Smith said.

The group is, however, seeing a slight reduction in demand to some of other destinations it serves around Israel, it said.

It has not suspended services to any other Middle East destinations, Smith said.

($1 = 0.9474 euro)

Reporting by Joanna Plucinska, Diana Mandiá and Federica Mileo
Editing by Jonathan Oatis and Mark Potter

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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Joanna reports on airlines and travel in Europe, including tourism trends, sustainability and policy. She was previously based in Warsaw, where she covered politics and general news. She wrote stories on everything from Chinese spies to migrants stranded in forests along the Belarusian border. In 2022, she spent six weeks covering the war in Ukraine, with a focus on the evacuation of children, war reparations and evidence that Russian commanders knew of sexual violence by their troops. Joanna graduated from the Columbia Journalism School in 2014. Before joining Reuters, she worked in Hong Kong for TIME and later in Brussels reporting on EU tech policy for POLITICO Europe.

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